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Descriptive epidemiology of coronavirus disease 2019 in Nigeria, 27 February–6 June 2020

Article scientifique 2020 Anglais

Résumé

The objective of this study was to describe the epidemiology of COVID-19 in Nigeria with a view of generating evidence to enhance planning and response strategies. A national surveillance dataset between 27 February and 6 June 2020 was retrospectively analysed, with confirmatory testing for COVID-19 done by real-time polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR). The primary outcomes were cumulative incidence (CI) and case fatality (CF). A total of 40 926 persons (67% of total 60 839) had complete records of RT-PCR test across 35 states and the Federal Capital Territory, 12 289 (30.0%) of whom were confirmed COVID-19 cases. Of those confirmed cases, 3467 (28.2%) had complete records of clinical outcome (alive or dead), 342 (9.9%) of which died. The overall CI and CF were 5.6 per 100 000 population and 2.8%, respectively. The highest proportion of COVID-19 cases and deaths were recorded in persons aged 31-40 years (25.5%) and 61-70 years (26.6%), respectively; and males accounted for a higher proportion of confirmed cases (65.8%) and deaths (79.0%). Sixty-six per cent of confirmed COVID-19 cases were asymptomatic at diagnosis. In conclusion, this paper has provided an insight into the early epidemiology of COVID-19 in Nigeria, which could be useful for contextualising public health planning.

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Elimian, K., Ochu, C. L., Ilori, E., Oladejo, J., Igumbor, E., Steinhardt, L. C., Wagai, J., Arinze, C., Ukponu, W., Obiekea, C., Aderinola, O., Crawford, E., Olayinka, A., Dan-Nwafor, C., Okwor, T., Disu, Y., Yinka-Ogunleye, A., Kanu, N., Olawepo, O., Aruna, O., Michael, C. A., Dunkwu, L., Ipadeola, O., Naidoo, D., Umeokonkwo, C. D., Matthias, A. T., Okunromade, O., Badaru, S., Jinadu, A., Ogunbode, O., Egwuenu, A., Dalhat, M., Saleh, F., Ebhodaghe, G. B., Ahumibe, A., Yashe, R., Atteh, R., Nwachukwu, W., Ezeokafor, C., Olaleye, D. O., Habib, Z. G., Abdus-Salam, I., John, D., Okhuarobo, U., Assad, H., Gandi, Y., Muhammad, B. A., Nwagwogu, C., Nwadiuto, I., Sulaiman, K. O., Iwuji, I., Okeji, A. B., Thliza, S., Fagbemi, S., Usman, R., Mohammed, A., Adeola-Musa, O., Ishaka, M., Aketemo, U., Kamaldeen, K., Obagha, C., Akinyode, A. O., Nguku, P., Mba, N., & Ihekweazu, C. (2020). Descriptive epidemiology of coronavirus disease 2019 in Nigeria, 27 February–6 June 2020. Epidemiology and Infection. https://doi.org/10.1017/s095026882000206x

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